Stony Brook
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
346  Cameron Avery SO 32:32
488  Vann Moffett SO 32:48
502  Nick Cruz JR 32:50
589  Daniel Connelly SR 33:00
651  Bryce Hedman JR 33:06
684  Chris Biondi SO 33:10
732  Kyle Kelly SO 33:16
1,099  Kevin Vinolas JR 33:46
1,209  Darian Sorouri JR 33:56
1,448  Michael Watts JR 34:14
1,499  Benjamin McDermott JR 34:20
1,694  Jayson Hines FR 34:37
National Rank #83 of 315
Northeast Region Rank #10 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 35.7%
Top 10 in Regional 91.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cameron Avery Vann Moffett Nick Cruz Daniel Connelly Bryce Hedman Chris Biondi Kyle Kelly Kevin Vinolas Darian Sorouri Michael Watts Benjamin McDermott
Stony Brook Wolfie Invitational 09/09 1067 32:47 33:15 33:33 33:20 33:00 33:37 34:19
Paul Short Gold 09/29 997 32:42 32:45 33:00 33:08 33:19 33:00 34:03
Princeton Invitational 10/14 960 32:39 32:49 32:45 32:47 33:16 33:00 33:39 33:44 34:04 33:50 34:05
America East Championship 10/28 891 32:05 32:31 32:47 32:49 33:13 33:14 33:05 33:55 33:42 34:48
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 902 32:29 32:10 32:56 33:16 32:48 33:02 33:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 6.8 250 1.4 17.3 17.1 16.2 13.3 11.1 9.7 5.4 3.8 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Avery 1.8% 157.0
Vann Moffett 0.1% 178.0
Nick Cruz 0.0% 190.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Avery 32.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.5 3.7
Vann Moffett 45.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.8
Nick Cruz 47.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.3
Daniel Connelly 58.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Bryce Hedman 64.2 0.1
Chris Biondi 68.9
Kyle Kelly 77.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 1.4% 1.4 3
4 17.3% 17.3 4
5 17.1% 17.1 5
6 16.2% 16.2 6
7 13.3% 13.3 7
8 11.1% 11.1 8
9 9.7% 9.7 9
10 5.4% 5.4 10
11 3.8% 3.8 11
12 2.6% 2.6 12
13 1.5% 1.5 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Temple 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0